Prepare for an ice age (From Bucks Free Press)
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Prepare for an ice age
10:54am Friday 19th March 2010 in
RE: Climate change debate.
IT comes as no surprise to learn that Eric Alexander (March 5) could not find the time to read the papers I sent him despite one of those papers being written by one of the UK’s leading environmentalists Professor David Bellamy.
Eric prefers to base his global warming conclusions on watching his daffodils grow and being hoodwinked by a stunt organised by a warmist ship owner sailing a small cargo ship through the North East Passage at the end of the Arctic summer accompanied by a Russian ice breaker!
The Copenhagen Global Warming conference will be remembered for two facts. Firstly, it was an expensive failure and secondly, it marked the start of the coldest winter in Europe, Asia and Scandinavia for at least 31 years and in some places like Scotland over 50 years.
Recently, in the Baltic and Gulf of Bothnia there were three ferries locked in the ice with over 900 passengers on board. In addition, there were a further 26 ships all icebound.
In England and Wales, we have had the coldest winter since 1978/79.
There have been eight colder winters in the past 100 years, 1917, 1929, 1940,41 & 42, 1947, 1963 and 1979. Of the past five UK winters, three of them have been colder than average and we have had three poor summers in succession. A large part of the northern hemisphere has had three very cold winters in succession.
Over the past 12 years, there has been a global cooling trend which is showing signs of accelerating. If it continues at the present rate it will equate to a global cooling of minus 2 degrees C by the end of this century.
This amount of cooling would return the UK to the condition of the Little Ice Age of the 15th and 16th century. This is a massive difference to the IPCC projections of a global warming over the same period of plus 5 degrees C.
The unproven theory that the sole cause of global warming is the burning of fossil fuels is falling apart.
It is clear from the 'Climategate' and 'Glaciergate' scandals that the projections from the IPCC are based on 'dodgy' climate data. The Met Office, having got nine out of ten of its seasonal forecasts wrong, has now admitted that you cannot accurately forecast the weather more than five days ahead. Yet they try and forecast global temperatures 100 years in the future.
Gordon Brown was one of the world leaders at the Copenhagen Conference.
If his knowledge of global warming is as good as his knowledge of economics then I am preparing for the imminent arrival of the next Ice Age!
Anthony Weeden,Bockmer End, Nr Marlow.
Comments(2)
Eachban
says...
11:27pm Sun 21 Mar 10
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Either there will be no comment from the usual suspects proclaiming the end of time. Or there will be an impassioned plea to the emotions (principally the emotion of fear) to 'save the children' and 'ignore the poisoned propaganda of the oil barons and their cohorts'.
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There will be no acknowledgement of the clear efforts to suppress 'inconvenient truths', or the recently started cover-up (sorry, investigation) at the IPCC surrounding the chairman's extraordinary personal economic benefit from climate change, nor of the validity of a nominal 30 or 40 year period in geological time to assess, well, anything really.
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On the other hand, whilst I do not support climate change being used by politicians to syphon even more of our money from our pockets, we should still develop new technologies and improve efficiency in use of traditional energy. The earth provides us with largely finite resources - we are yet to learn how to properly benefit from non-depleting resources in the context of modern economies. The circle will close eventually.
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bakerbill says...
7:51pm Sun 21 Mar 10
Sensationalist theories are generated by scientists who have evolved into professional alarmists who can influence the IPCC and reap rewards in research grants and fame. The trouble is that the only way to protect this position - and transmit their message of doom and gloom - is for the elite little coterie of climate comrades in the UK and United States to ignore geology, archaeology, history, astronomy and solar science. You see, these are the things that don't fit.
There have been six great ice ages. Two ice ages were characterised by ice at the Equator, with sea levels rising by up to 5,000ft. That's what I call sea-level change!
Five of the ice ages saw a far higher atmospheric carbon-dioxide content than at present. So carbon dioxide could not have caused past climate changes. Indeed, early Earth had 1,000 times more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere than now - yet there was no runaway "greenhouse effect", "tipping points" or "acid oceans".
The initial source of the two main greenhouse gases, water vapour and carbon dioxide, was volcanoes. Water vapour is still the main greenhouse gas. Once oceans formed and life appeared, carbon was then recycled between the oceans, atmosphere, soils, life and rocks. Carbon dioxide is a plant food, not a pollutant.
Human activity produces only 3% of the world's carbon-dioxide emissions each year. Carbon dioxide has a short life in the atmosphere and is absorbed by natural processes that have been taking place for billions of years. We are still in an ice age that started 34 million years ago, with the climate driven, among other things, by the Earth's orbit, the Sun, oceans and volcanoes. It is vital to remember that time, in a geological sense, is a far broader canvas than any of the detailed vignettes upon which the prophets of doom would have us focus.
There have been long periods of warm times during this current ice age, yet the ice sheets did not melt. They waxed and they waned, as ice sheets still do today.
Global warming evangelists who insist that carbon dioxide drives climate change have turned the truth on its head - the rise in atmospheric carbon-dioxide content followed rather than heralded temperature increases.
Climate is cyclical. The current cycles follow a pattern of about 90,000 years of highly variable glacial conditions followed by around 10,000 years of benign interglacial conditions. The current interglacial period started more than 12,000 years ago. We are due another glaciation.
Why is this story contrary to what we hear? Because sensationalism is so much more lucrative. A climate catastrophe was provided for an anxious public by scientists who had everything to gain by frightening us.
They put forward an ideology that is blind fundamentalism, unrelated to scientific facts. Politicians build new bureaucracies and pose as environmental saviours without having to face the consequences of their actions. Heads must roll. Meanwhile, the planet will carry on changing, just as it has always done.